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Keywords: Uncertainty
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Journal Articles
Publisher: ASME
Article Type: Research-Article
ASME J. Risk Uncertainty Part B. September 2023, 9(3): 031203.
Paper No: RISK-22-1069
Published Online: June 6, 2023
... of robustness to uncertainty as developed in info-gap decision theory. We explain that maximizing the robustness is complementary to—but distinct from—minimizing a measure of effort of the learning procedure. 1 Corresponding author. e-mail: yakov@technion.ac.il e-mail: scott.cogan@univ-fcomte.fr...
Journal Articles
Publisher: ASME
Article Type: Research-Article
ASME J. Risk Uncertainty Part B. June 2022, 8(2): 021201.
Paper No: RISK-21-1023
Published Online: September 20, 2021
...Kalman Ziha The probabilistic safety analysis evaluates system reliability and failure probability by using statistics and probability theory. However, it cannot estimate the system safety uncertainties due to variabilities of probabilities in different system states. The article first summarizes...
Journal Articles
Publisher: ASME
Article Type: Research-Article
ASME J. Risk Uncertainty Part B. March 2022, 8(1): 011101.
Paper No: RISK-20-1115
Published Online: August 2, 2021
... sufficient because a target variable value often varies due to diverse sources of uncertainty. For instance, in the fused deposition modeling process, the inconsistent results of replications are associated with natural randomness, environmental condition, and noisy process parameters. The point value...
Journal Articles
Publisher: ASME
Article Type: Research-Article
ASME J. Risk Uncertainty Part B. September 2020, 6(3): 031004.
Paper No: RISK-19-1081
Published Online: May 25, 2020
... boundary conditions, were considered for the uncertainty analysis. It is shown that, in each case, the interval values of the response parameters given by the universal gray number theory are consistent with the ranges of the input parameters, compared to those given by the interval analysis. It is also...
Journal Articles
Publisher: ASME
Article Type: Research-Article
ASME J. Risk Uncertainty Part B. June 2020, 6(2): 021010.
Paper No: RISK-19-1023
Published Online: March 30, 2020
.... A dataset of the pin-on-disk test by ASTM-G99 standard is used for additional model validation. The rail system data are employed for validation of the model in the practical systems. Uncertainty is analyzed by Monte Carlo simulation to determine the variations of the predicted material loss. Finally...
Journal Articles
Publisher: ASME
Article Type: Research-Article
ASME J. Risk Uncertainty Part B. December 2019, 5(4): 041005.
Paper No: RISK-18-1060
Published Online: September 25, 2019
.... In this work, evidence theory has been coupled with BN to address inconsistency, conflict and incompleteness in the expert opinions. It combines the acquired knowledge from various subjective sources, thereby rendering accuracy in probability estimation. Another source of uncertainty in BN is model uncertainty...
Journal Articles
Publisher: ASME
Article Type: Research-Article
ASME J. Risk Uncertainty Part B. June 2019, 5(2): 020906.
Paper No: RISK-18-1065
Published Online: April 15, 2019
... of the vehicle. The proposed approach consists of two main elements, namely uncertainty modeling of traffic conditions and model-based reliability analysis. In the uncertainty modeling step, a recently developed Gaussian mixture copula (GMC) method is employed to accurately represent the uncertainty in the road...
Journal Articles
Publisher: ASME
Article Type: Research-Article
ASME J. Risk Uncertainty Part B. December 2018, 4(4): 041009.
Paper No: RISK-17-1095
Published Online: April 30, 2018
...Harshini Devathi; Sunetra Sarkar A novel uncertainty quantification routine in the genre of adaptive sparse grid stochastic collocation (SC) has been proposed in this study to investigate the propagation of parametric uncertainties in a stall flutter aeroelastic system. In a hypercube stochastic...
Journal Articles
Vicente J. Romero, Benjamin B. Schroeder, James F. Dempsey, Nicole L. Breivik, George E. Orient, Bonnie R. Antoun, John R. Lewis, Justin G. Winokur
Publisher: ASME
Article Type: Research-Article
ASME J. Risk Uncertainty Part B. December 2018, 4(4): 041006.
Paper No: RISK-17-1070
Published Online: April 30, 2018
... to the particular stress–strain curves used for the materials in the model. We desire to estimate or bound response variation when only a few stress–strain curve samples are available from material testing. Propagation of just a few samples will usually result in significantly underestimated response uncertainty...
Journal Articles
Publisher: ASME
Article Type: Research-Article
ASME J. Risk Uncertainty Part B. December 2018, 4(4): 041008.
Paper No: RISK-17-1088
Published Online: April 30, 2018
...Fazel Khayatian; Maryam MeshkinKiya; Piero Baraldi; Francesco Di Maio; Enrico Zio Optimal sizing of peak loads has proven to be an important factor affecting the overall energy consumption of heating ventilation and air-conditioning (HVAC) systems. Uncertainty quantification of peak loads enables...
Journal Articles
Publisher: ASME
Article Type: Research-Article
ASME J. Risk Uncertainty Part B. December 2018, 4(4): 041005.
Paper No: RISK-17-1064
Published Online: April 30, 2018
...Arun Veeramany; James T. Woodward; Donald J. Hammerstrom Valuation of transactive energy (TE) systems should be supported by a structured and systematic approach to uncertainty identification, assessment, and treatment in the interest of risk-informed decision making. The proposed approach...
Journal Articles
Publisher: ASME
Article Type: Research-Article
ASME J. Risk Uncertainty Part B. December 2018, 4(4): 041002.
Paper No: RISK-17-1063
Published Online: April 18, 2018
... of learning BNs without discretizing the continuous variables or making assumptions about their conditional probability densities (CPDs). The applications of the learned BN to uncertainty quantification and model calibration are also investigated. The results of a mathematical example and an engineering...
Journal Articles
Publisher: ASME
Article Type: Research-Article
ASME J. Risk Uncertainty Part B. September 2018, 4(3): 031006.
Paper No: RISK-16-1072
Published Online: March 2, 2018
... to quantitative
analysis, particularly on resource allocation optimization under uncertainty,
such as with differentiation between disruption and regular supply variability
[ 57 ], facility location design
[ 58 , 59...
Journal Articles
Publisher: ASME
Article Type: Research-Article
ASME J. Risk Uncertainty Part B. September 2018, 4(3): 031002.
Paper No: RISK-16-1020
Published Online: December 20, 2017
... manuscript received October 18, 2017; published online December 20, 2017. Assoc. Editor: Sankaran Mahadevan. 28 01 2016 18 10 2017 Reliability Structural reliability Uncertainty Reliability is the ability that a component or system performs its intended function in routine...
Journal Articles
Publisher: ASME
Article Type: Research-Article
ASME J. Risk Uncertainty Part B. September 2018, 4(3): 031004.
Paper No: RISK-17-1007
Published Online: December 20, 2017
... Uncertainty Computer numerical control (CNC) machine tools widely function as key equipment to process large-scale products in manufacturing. With the increasing importance of CNC machine tools in the high-end manufacturing field, it is more and more necessary to improve the accuracy of machine tools...
Journal Articles
Publisher: ASME
Article Type: Research-Article
ASME J. Risk Uncertainty Part B. June 2018, 4(2): 021008.
Paper No: RISK-17-1011
Published Online: October 5, 2017
...Stefan Erschen; Fabian Duddeck; Matthias Gerdts; Markus Zimmermann In the early development phase of complex technical systems, uncertainties caused by unknown design restrictions must be considered. In order to avoid premature design decisions, sets of good designs, i.e., designs which satisfy all...
Journal Articles
Publisher: ASME
Article Type: Research-Article
ASME J. Risk Uncertainty Part B. June 2018, 4(2): 021005.
Paper No: RISK-17-1026
Published Online: October 4, 2017
... of this information fusion model in fault diagnosis is beneficial in two aspects, diagnostic applicability and diagnostic accuracy. Additionally, this model can overcome the uncertainty of information and equipment to increase diagnostic accuracy. Two case studies are implemented by this information fusion model...
Journal Articles
Publisher: ASME
Article Type: Research-Article
ASME J. Risk Uncertainty Part B. June 2018, 4(2): 021006.
Paper No: RISK-17-1044
Published Online: October 3, 2017
....
C. , 2016 ,
“ Handling Uncertainty in the Remnant Fatigue Life Assessment
of Offshore Process Pipework ,” ASME Paper
No. IMECE2016-65504. 10.1115/IMECE2016-65504 [5] Khan ,
F...
Journal Articles
Publisher: ASME
Article Type: Research-Article
ASME J. Risk Uncertainty Part B. June 2018, 4(2): 021004.
Paper No: RISK-17-1025
Published Online: October 3, 2017
..., uncertainty is estimated by using the Monte Carlo simulation. It is observed that by increasing the crack length, the standard deviation (the measure of uncertainty) increases. Also, it is noted that the reduction in stress ratio has the similar effect. Then, stochastic crack growth model, proposed by Yang...
Journal Articles
Publisher: ASME
Article Type: Research-Article
ASME J. Risk Uncertainty Part B. June 2018, 4(2): 021002.
Paper No: RISK-16-1110
Published Online: October 3, 2017
...Javad Sovizi; Rahul Rai; Venkat Krovi Loosely interconnected cooperative systems such as cable robots are particularly susceptible to uncertainty. Such uncertainty is exacerbated by addition of the base mobility to realize reconfigurability within the system. However, it also sets the ground...
1
ASCE-ASME Journal of Risk and Uncertainty in Engineering Systems, Part A: Civil Engineering
Limit-State Function Sensitivity under Epistemic Uncertainty: A Convex Model Approach
Haodong Zhao; Changcong Zhou; Qi Chang; Haotian Shi; Marcos A. Valdebenito; Matthias G. R. Faes
Article Type: Research-Article
Published: October 12, 2024
Latent Space-Based Likelihood Estimation Using a Single Observation for Bayesian Updating of a Nonlinear Hysteretic Model
Sangwon Lee; Taro Yaoyama; Yuma Matsumoto; Takenori Hida; Tatsuya Itoi
Article Type: Research-Article
Published: October 09, 2024
From Impact to Control: Inertially Amplified Friction Bearings
Sudip Chowdhury, Ph.D.; Arnab Banerjee, Ph.D.; Sondipon Adhikari, Ph.D.
Article Type: Research-Article
Published: October 09, 2024
Investigating the Evolution Path of Urban Natural Gas Pipeline Accidents Using a Complex Network Approach
Xinhong Li, Ph.D.; Xin Ning; Jie Ma; Ziyue Han
Article Type: Technical Notes
Published: October 07, 2024
Near-Fault Earthquake-Induced Vibration Control of a Supertall Benchmark Building Using an Inerter-Assisted Compliant Liquid Damper
Tanmoy Konar; Anupam Das; Aparna Dey Ghosh
Article Type: Research-Article
Published: October 07, 2024
Protocol for the Validation of Models for Regional Risk Analysis
Yun-Chi Yu; Neetesh Sharma; Paolo Gardoni
Article Type: Research-Article
Published: September 30, 2024
Enhancing Reliability of Construction Contingency Estimation at the Scoping Phase through Historical Cost Data Analysis
Taewoo Ko; Chau Le; H. David Jeong; Kunhee Choi
Article Type: Research-Article
Published: September 30, 2024
Seismic Control and Performance Assessment of Isolated Bridges Using Integration of Negative Stiffness and Inerter-Based Supplemental Control Devices
Naqeeb Ul Islam; R. S. Jangid
Article Type: Research-Article
Published: September 26, 2024
Advantages and Limitations of Bayesian Approaches to Decision-Making in Construction Management: A Critical Review (1988–2023)
Guillermo Mejía, Ph.D.; Jaime A. Gutiérrez-Prada; Oscar H. Portilla-Carreño; Jonathan Soto-Paz, Ph.D.
Article Type: Review Articles
Published: September 26, 2024
Short-Term Forecasting of Transit Travel Demand: A Customized Relevance Vector Machine Model
Chong Yang, Ph.D.; Yang Li; Wenzhi Yin, Ph.D.; Xiaowei Shi, Ph.D.
Article Type: Research-Article
Published: September 25, 2024
Intelligent Landfill Slope Monitoring System and Data Analysis: Case Study for a Landfill Slope in Shenzhen, China
Haoyu Lin; Junchao Li; Jiwu Lan; Shijin Dai; Jianqun Jiang; Yunmin Chen
Article Type: Case Studies
Published: September 24, 2024
Analysis of the Influence of Rolling Motion on the ROPAX Vessel with Firewater Accumulation
Honggui Wang; Huseyn Shukurov; Yuan Shu; Zhaolin Wu; Xinjian Wang; Jiajun Sang; Biao Wang
Article Type: Research-Article
Published: September 18, 2024
Performance Assessment of Lead Rubber–Isolated Liquid Storage Tanks with Clutching Inertial Systems
Ketan Narayan Bajad; Radhey Shyam Jangid
Article Type: Research-Article
Published: September 18, 2024
Robust Modeling of Earthquake Catastrophe Risk for Insurance: An Integrated Approach Incorporating Active Faults and an Epidemic-Type Model
Emmanouil Louloudis, Ph.D.; Alexandros Zimbidis, Ph.D.
Article Type: Research-Article
Published: August 30, 2024
Tracing the Factors Influencing Learning from Incidents Behavior in the Construction Industry: Based on a Complex Systems Perspective
Lingna Lin; Jiacheng Zhong
Article Type: Research-Article
Published: August 26, 2024
Stochastic Evaluation of Railway Track Buckling Using Monte-Carlo Simulations
Dan Agustin; Qing Wu, Ph.D.; Maksym Spiryagin, Ph.D.; Colin Cole, Ph.D.; Esteban Bernal, Ph.D.
Article Type: Research-Article
Published: August 24, 2024
Optimum Design of Hybrid Base Isolation and Tuned Liquid Damper Systems for Structures under Near-Fault Ground Motions
Ayla Ocak; Gebrail Bekdaş; Sinan Melih Nigdeli
Article Type: Research-Article
Published: August 24, 2024
Bayesian Finite-Element Model Updating of Bridges Considering Boundary Condition Uncertainties
Shu-Han Yang; Ting-Hua Yi; Chun-Xu Qu; Song-Han Zhang, Ph.D.; Hong-Nan Li
Article Type: Research-Article
Published: August 16, 2024
Nondeterministic Kriging for Probabilistic Systems with Mixed Continuous and Discrete Input Variables
Jayasekara Jayasekara; Sabarethinam Kameshwar, Ph.D.
Article Type: Research-Article
Published: August 14, 2024
Navigation Decision-Making Method of Complex Multitype Ships’ Routing Waters
Deqing Yu; Yixiong He; Dian Lyu; Jinlai Liu; Xingya Zhao; Liwen Huang
Article Type: Research-Article
Published: August 07, 2024